Blog
Macro analysis and regime-based investing insights.
The Next Frontier: Investing in the Great Unknown
Space is no longer just a philosophical curiosity — it's the next great investment frontier. Here's why the regime matters when positioning for it.
The Cycle of Knowledge: 3 Hard-Earned Lessons from 6 Years in the Markets
I believed the conventional wisdom for years. Time in the market beats timing the market. Buy and hold. DCA. Do your research. Then I looked at 30 years of cross-asset data and realised I had the right instincts but the wrong framework.
Five Rate Cuts Did Nothing — And What Finally Changed
From July to December 2025, the Alphameter spent 90 consecutive days in risk-off territory. The Federal Reserve cut rates three times during that stretch. The score barely moved. Here is what the cross-asset data actually shows — and what finally ended it.
The Petro-AI Standard: Why the Empire is Doubling Down on Conflict
The headlines speak of ideology and "democracy," but the balance sheet tells a different story. If you want to understand why the US is currently embroiled in Middle Eastern skirmishes, pressuring Venezuela, and eyeing Iran, you have to look at the Energy-to-Intelligence pipeline.
The Great Decoupling: Why the Markets are Betting on a Silicon Savior
The world feels like it's fraying at the edges. We are witnessing a jarring paradox: while the Persian Gulf faces historic supply disruptions and the 1,500-day war in Ukraine grinds on, the stock markets are reaching for the stratosphere. The markets aren't ignoring the chaos—they are betting on an exit strategy.